Daily US Times: If Donald Trump pieces together an Electoral College win today’s election, at least one pollster — and perhaps only one — will be able to say, “I told you so.”
That person is Robert Cahaly, whose Trafalgar Group has released a consistent stream of battleground-state polls this year showing president Trump highly competitive against Joe Biden, and often out ahead, in states where most other poll results have shown a steady Biden lead.
Trafalgar does not disclose how it conducts the poll, and is considered far too shadowy by other pollsters to be taken seriously. Mostly, they dismiss it as an outlier. But for Cahaly, a veteran Republican strategist, “I told you so” is already a calling card.
In 2016, its first time publicly releasing polls, the group was the firm whose state surveys most effectively presaged Donald Trump’s upset win. Cahaly even called the exact number of Electoral College votes that Trump and Hillary Clinton would receive — 306-227 — although the prediction of which states would get them there was just slightly off.
So with liberal anxieties flaring over whether to trust the polls, Cahaly has been in demand on cable news lately. In addition to frequent appearances on Fox News, last week, he was on Cahaly was, explaining to Michael Smerconish why he thought president Trump would walk away with an easy victory — and defending himself against a battery of critiques that Smerconish called up, one by one, from Cahaly’s peers.
You may read: US votes in most divisive election in decades
